Archive for January, 2006

Jan 20 2006

Didn’t see this one coming.

Published by Dave under Sottish Politics

Who was mostly likely to attack Tony Blair on education reform? Estelle Morris? No, out of no-where comes Neil Kinnock. The most publicised criticism of Tony Blair's plans comes not from the Conservatives or the Lib Dems, but from ... well, from Labour.
 
It's one thing if a backbench MP decides to voice his opposition to reform, that would hardly make page twelve of the broadsheets, but when the former leader of the Labour Party, who is 'a dear friend' of Tony Blair's, steps out to oppose one of the biggest reforms that Blair has put on the table, that's a big deal.
 
In terms of practilities, how much power does Neil Kinnock actually have? Well in theory not much at all, but if such a respected and admired man in Labour feels so strongly against these ideas regarding trust schools, then I wouldn't be surprised if he manages to change the opinion of a few others too. Not ministers of course, they must faithfully toe the party line unless you go the Robin Cook or Claire Short route (guarenteeing you exile to the back benches forever). So Kinnock's opinions will almost definitely do more for the Conservatives than for Labour, who he is obviously trying to 'help out.'
 
It could be Tony Blair thought that thanking him at every election victory would keep him a happy, smiling face, but 'the man we have to thank for the change to New Labour' has dealt quite a blow to Blair; not so much in terms of the actual progress of the reforms, because if Tony Blair wants these education changes so much he will get them, but Kinnock's opposition undermines the credibility of what the Prime Minister believes are ground-breaking ideas.
 
Whilst we're on education, I was listening to Shadow Minister for Schools Nick Gibb being interviewed on the radio today, and the interviewer was pressing him to be more hardlined on Labour over the current sex-offenders issue, and urged him not to cosy up to Labour on this one. It is important that the Conservatives are strong on this issue, but even more important, is that if agreeing with Labour on some points of this will make our schools safer in shorter time then by all means we must do it. We cannot use this as an opportunity to shout "Your children are not safe under Labour" because it is hijacking the issue and turning it away from the welfare of children towards trying to score political points. David Willetts is holding the Government to account, but we must deal with this issue in a mature and responsible manner.
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Jan 18 2006

Who should lead the Lib Dems?

Published by Dave under Sottish Politics

The answer is, it doesn't really matter. Considering that Michael Howard thought he was too old to stand at the next election, and that Kenneth Clarke lost leadership votes due to his age, Menzies Campbell's entry is a sure sign that the party doesn't expect to win the next election. I find it hard to believe that the new leader will be able to pull the Liberal Democrats together to form a consolidated, policy driven party. At least with Charles Kennedy, even if he didn't act like a Prime Minister in waiting, he did have strong policy ideas, and it appears that the opposite may well occur now. We might well see a leader who acts more like a Prime Minister but actually has more problems in directing the party in terms of policy. The Conservatives are talking more about the environment, which is traditionally seen as Lib Dem territory, and I wouldn't be surprised if they take a good number of votes from the Lib Dems at the next election based on this one issue alone.

Speaking of the Conservatives making gains, it is warming to hear so many members of the public actually admit that the Conservatives stand a chance at the next election. Admitting this is the first step to voting for them; the Conservatives haven't looked so good since before Black Wednesday. This is definitely down to the work of David Cameron, but it is also down to the fact that the last election showed the party what could be achieved if everyone stuck together, and unity is now the word. With Labour facing back bench unease on various fronts the Conservatives must present a congruent and focused package consistently over the next three years, and as long as we keep this friendly and optimistic image that shouldn't be all that difficult. There has been criticism of David Cameron that he is too vague and hasn't spelled out exactly what he plans to do in terms of specific policy, but it would be foolish of him to rush in and declare tax cuts for example, when the future financial situation in Britain is not that predictable. He is, however, setting out a direction for the party and that will make it easier for policy to fall into place. Yet the main point to Cameron's policy thinking is that he is listening to the country and in doing so he is increasing the chances of his policy decisions reflecting the wants and needs of the British people.

To simply follow the Conservative manual by the book is not the way forward, although many traditionalists want to carry on trudging through the battlefield oblivious to the fact that in many ways it's a different battle and in other ways a completely different field. And anyway, the Conservative manual according to whom? If it is according to Thatcherism, then it would be helpful to bear in mind what Michael Portillo told me at his Stirling University lecture: I asked him 'How relevant is Thatcherism to contemporary Conservative policy?' and he replied by saying that if you want to be true to the spirit of Thatcherism then you have to try new ideas, since Thatcher was prepared to do so and changed the country for the better in doing it.

I believe that the Conservative party should keep the ideas that work and upgrade those that no longer suit our political climate. Those who claim Cameron is changing his mind on issues must remember that in the 2005 election he was participating in the manifesto under the constraints that the party was under at that time. Michael Howard was in the job all of eighteen month and there was little chance of a complete new face for the party in some areas; Cameron is taking eighteen months alone to define policies. Some right-wing members of the Conservative party have expressed concern over the party's move closer to the centre ground, in that it may result in Labour and the Conservatives looking very similar in some areas. Whilst there may end up being broad similarities in some ways, it is important to remember two key points:

1) Opposition for opposition's sake is wrong. It only creates division when beneficial legislation could be put into action.

2) If the Conservatives do have a similar policy to Labour on a certain issue, the difference will be that Labour haven't delivered and the Conservatives will. Promises can often be similar but the difference in actual delivery is striking.

I am beginning to think that the only reason the Lib Dems aren't switching to the Conservatives is difficulty in swallowing their pride.

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Jan 12 2006

Charles Kennedy Resignation - Liberal Democrats not nice

Published by Scottish Politics under Sottish Politics

Well it seems as if after a much hyped advance at the Westminster elections, the Liberal Democrats have decided to shoot themselves well and truly in the foot. The Lib Dems seem to pride themselves on their ability to align themselves with the thinking of the "man on the street" but there appears to have been a severe misjudgement on their part this time.

Charles Kennedy made a brave and statesmanlike admission that he had been fighting an alcohol addiction. This problem is one shared by many of his constituents and the repercussions of alcohol problems reverberate through Scottish and British society. Many people will have felt nothing but sympathy for him for the way that the media had turned on him in the wake of his admission. It had long been assumed by many people that the post of Leader of the Liberal Democrats was the safest position in UK politics today.

Being attacked in the media is one thing. Being attacked by those in your own party and whom you had a close working relationship is quite another. The person whose story was going to be broadcast and which forced the live on air confession was none other than his own former press secretary. If the Lib Dems had been smart they would have embraced the confession as proof that politicians are only human and that they have the same problems to contend with as everyone else. Instead they chose to publicly assassinate Charles Kennedy in the most brutal fashion. Some of the quotes coming from Liberal Democrat MPs were unbelievable. They certainly seem to have shed the "nice" image they have been carefully cultivating over the years. The MPs attacked their party leader with the sort of venom normally reserved for their worst enemies.

In ridding themselves of Charles Kennedy's leadership, have the Lib Dems managed to go from boom to bust in one swift stroke? Only time will tell but with a rejuvinated conservative party being buoyed by the right wing press, surely the writing is on the wall.

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